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Originally Posted by Certain

They are entering the tournament hot, have one of the best tournament coaches ever, have a pair of senior stars, have top-10 NBA prospect, have depth across the board and are coming off the Big Ten Conference championship.

I'm not saying they will make it, but why are they overvalued? Numerous major statistical analyses also like their chances quite a bit.

Everything is based off of them "finally being healthy" - this can impact team mechanics. Even if you throw talent into the middle of the talent pool, one gear can affect the rest.

The other issue is that they've been able to put up such gaudy numbers on the boards because they play in the B1G. I think they'll get bullied by a team that can outpace and outsize them. MSU relies on their defense more than anything (as much, if not moreso, than Syracuse).

I don't see them making it past Louisville if they go that far.

(for what it's worth, I have them losing to Florida in a toss-up)