There's no reason for both parties to break up simultaneously. If one breaks, the other will have an increased incentive to avoid a break. It appears the Republicans are much closer to a fracture, but even though they have three distinct groups in their party (the outraged, the fiscal conservatives and the religious right), they stick together because falling apart would guarantee liberal rule that none of those groups wants.
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I'm just swinging swords strictly based on keyboards, unbalanced like elephants and ants on seesaws.
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