[Certain]

I don't think there are upsets at this point. Even last round, none of the permutations would have surprised me.

Hell, even in the second round, the only true upset possibilities would have been Mike Wrecka beating El Pancake and jilti beating kannon.

This tournament isn't suited to upsets because writing well is such a major part of it. In a regular battle, someone can come up with a great approach to the topic and not write it particularly well and beat an elite writer who half-asses. But it's almost impossible to half-ass a 10-line verse or even a 16-line verse.