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-   -   If the sun burps out one more sizeable flare within the next 24 hours (http://netcees.org/showthread.php?t=6451)

Chyeahhh!!! 05-13-2013 01:28 PM

If the sun burps out one more sizeable flare within the next 24 hours
 
hold onto your horses. He's spit out 2 X flares within the last 24 hours. None of them have or will be earth directed, but there will be an event that follows not too long after here on Earth. The 15th draws nigh

Chyeahhh!!! 05-13-2013 01:29 PM

also, the sunspot where these have come from will be facing Earth later this week and all of next. FYI the Carrington Event had a mirror lashing out during that event

Boredom 05-13-2013 01:29 PM

soooo whats going on? solar flare hitting earth chyea?

Wise Wiggles 05-13-2013 01:29 PM

The sun isn't even real.

Chyeahhh!!! 05-13-2013 01:30 PM

he speaks....
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Whys Ways (Post 58071)
The sun isn't even real.

cosign I fail :(

Ghost1 05-13-2013 01:31 PM

Lmao

Chyeahhh!!! 05-13-2013 01:34 PM

he speaks....
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Boredom (Post 58070)
soooo whats going on? solar flare hitting earth chyea?

the two X's in the last 24 hours weren't Earth directed. That sunspot had little to no activity until these two and the coronal hole is gaining strength for stronger X flares it's due to point our direction here in the next few days. That's kinda freaky

IamBenT 05-13-2013 01:57 PM

man @Bags that don't even look like witty's fox.

your fox is much more handsome lolol

namix 05-13-2013 07:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Whys Ways (Post 58071)
The sun isn't even real.

ill

Chyeahhh!!! 05-14-2013 09:41 AM

it happened

brace yourselves

Chyeahhh!!! 05-14-2013 09:56 AM

http://www.sidc.oma.be/***tus/out/CME0055/CME.mov

Dove Dozer 05-14-2013 10:04 AM

What does that 5 second video indicate

Chyeahhh!!! 05-14-2013 10:07 AM

X3 solar flare yesterday, 3rd in 24 hours from the same sunspot

Dove Dozer 05-14-2013 10:09 AM

I dont know much about that shit. What is the significance of 3x solar flares. Dont solar flare happen continually across the entire sun?

Chyeahhh!!! 05-14-2013 10:15 AM

not across the entire sun no. There are what are called cronal holes of plasma the sun spews out (cme's, filaments, flares) different snaps or whips of plasma (picture a flaming whip) that are either active or defunct. The sunspot in question had been inactive for a few months then all of a sudden awoke with 3 x flares in the same region within 24 hours which is pretty rare as far as "sun watching" goes. Anybody that checks Stereo A and Stereo B stats can tell you that this hasn't happened but one other time that we know of and that was was the Carrington Event, with those being Earth directed. These aren't, but the sunspot responsible for all the recent activity is going to be pointed in our direction tomorrow through next week. It's pretty much aiming a smoking cannon at an ant. Something may pop off, maybe not. Few likeminded folks such as I keeping an eye on it though

and yes solar flares are very common, the strongest class on record being the X Class that gets demonitated 1-10 with the 3 we've had recently ranging between 2 and 5

namix 05-14-2013 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edgar AlPo (Post 58370)
not across the entire sun no. There are what are called cronal holes of plasma the sun spews out (cme's, filaments, flares) different snaps or whips of plasma (picture a flaming whip) that are either active or defunct. The sunspot in question had been inactive for a few months then all of a sudden awoke with 3 x flares in the same region within 24 hours which is pretty rare as far as "sun watching" goes. Anybody that checks Stereo A and Stereo B stats can tell you that this hasn't happened but one other time that we know of and that was was the Carrington Event, with those being Earth directed. These aren't, but the sunspot responsible for all the recent activity is going to be pointed in our direction tomorrow through next week. It's pretty much aiming a smoking cannon at an ant. Something may pop off, maybe not. Few likeminded folks such as I keeping an eye on it though

and yes solar flares are very common, the strongest class on record being the X Class that gets demonitated 1-10 with the 3 we've had recently ranging between 2 and 5

What do you think is the worst case scenario though, even if there was a surge in our direction?

People tend to hear this stuff and think there's going to be like a sudden increase in temperature or something... in reality, its impact will likely be unnoticed by the average joe -- and would probably just be a 'blip' on a few electrical machines designed to measure it.

BUUUUUT -

The combination of solar flares peaking AND Earth's Magnetosphere weakening, AND current galactic alignment does increase the probability that there could be a 'measurable impact' on Earth... I could see temporary electrical disruptions being feasible in a worst case scenario -- and in a doomsday scenario, perhaps 'electrical outages' - but even with the gravitational effects of our alignment and a weakened magnetosphere doing less to "absorb the surge" - I would be shocked if it became anything more than a blip on some 'sun spotters' radar.

What are your thoughts EAP?

Chyeahhh!!! 05-14-2013 10:46 AM

I think we shall see very soon just how little or how much something like this will affect us in these days in times to say the least.

Hush 05-14-2013 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edgar AlPo (Post 58370)
not across the entire sun no. There are what are called cronal holes of plasma the sun spews out (cme's, filaments, flares) different snaps or whips of plasma (picture a flaming whip) that are either active or defunct. The sunspot in question had been inactive for a few months then all of a sudden awoke with 3 x flares in the same region within 24 hours which is pretty rare as far as "sun watching" goes. Anybody that checks Stereo A and Stereo B stats can tell you that this hasn't happened but one other time that we know of and that was was the Carrington Event, with those being Earth directed. These aren't, but the sunspot responsible for all the recent activity is going to be pointed in our direction tomorrow through next week. It's pretty much aiming a smoking cannon at an ant. Something may pop off, maybe not. Few likeminded folks such as I keeping an eye on it though

and yes solar flares are very common, the strongest class on record being the X Class that gets demonitated 1-10 with the 3 we've had recently ranging between 2 and 5


Chinpansy

Chyeahhh!!! 05-14-2013 11:42 AM

he speaks....
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hush (Post 58381)
Chinpansy

Chinny long face whats popping

Chyeahhh!!! 05-14-2013 03:48 PM

false


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